There are coincidences that catch the eye when analyzing the Cagliari vote. One is that where the city's problems are greater the gap between the votes won by Alessandra Todde and those received by the mayor, candidate for governor of the centre-right, is wider. It happens in the Navy hostage of the malamovida and the construction site in via Roma, where the 60 to 22 (in one section) in favor of the exponent of Campo Largo says more than a thousand words. It happens in the Stampacini polling stations in the Viale Trieste area (23 points difference), in a Castello that feels abandoned (55-24), in Genneruxi trapped first by the construction site in Viale Marconi, then by the closure of Via Galvani, in the suburbs invaded by waste and constantly waiting for interventions. Paolo Truzzu even lost his seat, albeit by less than the general 19 point margin.

Towards the administrative ones

So what legacy does the mayor leave to his successors?

A question that makes sense to ask today that the city, having passed the regional elections, is already looking towards the administrative elections of 8 and 9 June (the most probable date, but the new president will decide it). While awaiting the resignation of Truzzu - who has 40 days from the announcement of the elected officials, but is expected to leave within a month - the parties have begun major maneuvers for the choice of candidates for mayor already in the phase of negotiations for Villa Devoto. But it is clear that Sunday's vote has changed the scenarios in both the centre-right and the centre-left.

Centre-right

In the centre-right it is clear that the result of the lists, better than that of the mayor, cannot be sufficient to guarantee confirmation as leader of the city. On the contrary. Not so much because of the tradition of alternation, which in Cagliari in recent years has not been respected (Delogu, Floris and Zedda were elected for a second mandate), but because if it is true that the Cagliari electorate confirms itself as slightly right-wing, it is it is equally true that the construction sites are a heavy legacy for anyone who arrives. In fact there is no queue of aspiring mayors. Excluding the possibility that the next candidate could be from the Brothers of Italy, which is also the first party in the coalition, who could indicate the first citizen?

The League's ambitions

In the aftermath of Truzzu's investiture as president of the Region, Andrea Crippa, Matteo Salvini's right-hand man, said that the indication would be up to the League. But with 3.7% of votes, only one regional councilor elected (Alessandro Sorgia, not exactly a true Northern League member) and the penultimate place in the coalition's preferences, today it is complicated. Unless we add the votes of the Northern League to those of the Psd'Az (5.4%) which would allow us to reach 9.1%. At that point the most likely candidate would be Gianni Chessa, who has never hidden his ambition and could also make his preferences count (over 5,600). But the Reformers, the second force of the coalition with 7.1%, could also do so, who could field the most voted in the regional elections, Umberto Ticca, or give a chance to Giorgio Angius, current deputy mayor, who remained outside the regional council despite over 1,800 preferences conquered. The chances are higher for Alessandra Zedda, former regional councilor for Labor of Forza Italia who has long been at odds with the party, and Edoardo Tocco, president of the city council, also a first-time Italian national and looking for a career award.

Centre-left

The center-left may have the wind in its sails but there are some internal problems to resolve. Former mayor Massimo Zedda has publicly announced his willingness to return to Palazzo Bacaredda, even through the primaries. And the return of his Progressives to Campo Largo after their initial support for Renato Soru was instrumental in achieving the objective of re-nomination. But nothing is taken for granted, especially given that the 3% of approval obtained by the symbol with its name does not allow it to make a loud statement. It is no mystery that Piero Comandini also aspires to the role. Of course, the secretary of the Democratic Party seems destined to be president of the regional council (or councilor), a role in which he could be undermined by Giuseppe Meloni, who received more votes than him. But his personal electoral strength (over 5,500 preferences) and the rediscovered leadership of the Dems, which have returned to being the leading party on the island, could give him the right to choose. His possible resignation as regional councilor, moreover, would open the doors of the Chamber to Fabrizio Marcello, the first of the non-elected and close to Paolo Fadda, someone who counts for a lot in the Democratic Party again.

It is true that Zedda is still considered a winning horse and that the primaries for Comandini could be a danger. What if they don't happen?

We will talk about all this in the coming weeks. The Cagliari match, as well as those for the mayors of Sassari and Alghero and the other municipalities where they will vote, will be collateral to the negotiations for the formation of the regional council.

Fabio Manca

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